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| Solid Data-Driven Gains | ||
| 8/13/2026 4:10 PM | ||
| Solid Data-Driven Gains Thursday was a fairly straightforward session for bonds. Yields fell modestly overnight in response to slightly lower oil prices and then more forcefully after the cooler-than-expected PPI data. Mid-day fuel price volatility caused a slight pull-back, but not enough to undo a reasona...Read More | ||
| Lowest Mortgage Rates in Nearly 4 Weeks | ||
| 8/13/2026 3:07 PM | ||
| Mortgage rates dropped noticeably on Thursday on a combination of lower oil prices and a lower inflation reading via the Producer Price Index (PPI). Rates are driven by bonds and bonds are highly responsive to the outlook for inflation and the economy. The Iran war caused inflation implications to spike and the periodic relief in fuel prices has co...Read More | ||
| Home Buyer Aid, eClosing, Marketing tools; Texas Insurance Study; Spec Pool Price Volatility | ||
| 8/13/2026 10:45 AM | ||
| Innovation, compliance, and affordability were key themes at this week’s Western Secondary. At the state level, for example, Kinder Institute report shows homeowners insurance has become a growing barrier to housing affordability across Texas. As Texas leaders search for ways to rein in soaring homeowner insurance costs, new research suggests premi...Read More | ||
| Thank You PPI | ||
| 8/13/2026 8:51 AM | ||
| If nothing else, this morning offers confirmation of just how nervous the market is about inflation. The producer price index barely beat its forecast (in fact y/y CORE PPI was on the screws), but this was enough for bonds to add on to modest overnight gains in a modestly enthusiastic way. We almost never see this much of a reaction to this s...Read More | ||
| Bonds End Flat After Front-Running The Decent Data | ||
| 8/12/2026 4:09 PM | ||
| Bonds End Flat After Front-Running The Decent Data We absolutely hate the term "front-running" because it can be perceived as connoting some measure of clairvoyance on the part of the bond market. To be clear, that"s not the contention here. Rather, we noted that bonds were trading somewhat optimistically y...Read More | ||
| Mortgage Rates Back at 3 Week Lows | ||
| 8/12/2026 3:48 PM | ||
| Mortgage lenders set rates around 10am ET every day, but the bond market dictates the day to day changes, and bonds were on the move throughout the overnight trading hours. Granted, the movement wasn"t extreme, but much like yesterday, it suggested a bit of optimism heading into this morning"s main event: the release of July"s Consumer Price Index ...Read More | ||
| Asset-Based Loan, Loss Mit, Verification, AI-Native Execution; On-Site Events for your Calendar; Inflation Data | ||
| 8/12/2026 10:15 AM | ||
| One of the panels during this year’s California MBA Western Secondary focused on the ramp up of non-Agency/equity lending. Why has it increased as a portion of the overall residential origination pie? It is attributed to a changing economy and changing borrowers, along with record equity. Add in the high percentage of borrowers who have first-lien ...Read More | ||
| No Major Reaction to As-Expected CPI | ||
| 8/12/2026 8:44 AM | ||
| It would have been hard for CPI to be any more boring. All key metrics came in perfectly in line with forecasts. Supercore (core minus housing), was 0.189, which is a monthly equivalent of "close enough to the 2.0% target." Core CPI itself was 0.215%, which extrapolates to 2.58% year-over-year. The volume response let"s us know that trad...Read More | ||
| Bonds Looking Somewhat Optimistic Ahead of CPI | ||
| 8/11/2026 3:56 PM | ||
| Bonds Looking Somewhat Optimistic Ahead of CPI Bonds improved modestly on Tuesday which is actually a somewhat resilient/optimistic showing. The ongoing correlation with oil prices suggested less improvement (oil actually closed higher on the day). In addition, it"s usually less of a surprise to see bonds s...Read More | ||
| Mortgage Rates Sideways to Slightly Higher | ||
| 8/11/2026 3:30 PM | ||
| It ended up being a remarkably uneventful day for mortgage rates. Some lenders were slightly higher than yesterday. Others were roughly unchanged. The difference came down to whether the lender in question raised rates yesterday afternoon. What does this mean? Lenders prefer to set rates once per day around 10am ET. But if the underlying bond mark...Read More | ||
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