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| NMLS Review, Fraud Monitor, Margin Mgt. Tools; Mortgage Products Shifting... Progressive"s "Uppayment"? | ||
| 6/17/2026 10:44 AM | ||
| Here in Honolulu, as it is in places like Florida and New York, the condo market and HOA fees are of paramount importance, as are the affordability impact of special assessments. Even though the inventory of houses for sale has steadily increased in many areas, some people want more. One idea being bantered about is changing, or eliminating, the ca...Read More | ||
| What Are Bonds Waiting For? | ||
| 6/17/2026 8:40 AM | ||
| So far today, we"ve seen some war-related headlines that feel like they should have gotten at least a mild response (Trump saying MOU isn"t final and could go back to dropping bombs) and a Retail Sales report that speaks to ongoing economic expansion at a faster-than-expected pace. Both of those things argue for something other than a modest rally ...Read More | ||
| Decent Gains, But Some Signs of Resistance | ||
| 6/16/2026 3:24 PM | ||
| Decent Gains, But Some Signs of Resistance Bonds improved overnight at the start of European trading and made additional gains in concert with lower oil prices during the domestic session. Notably, the gains met resistance at 4.42%--a resistance level that"s been on our radar since the last bounce a fe...Read More | ||
| Mortgage Rates Lowest Since May 14th | ||
| 6/16/2026 2:56 PM | ||
| Today"s top tier 30yr fixed rate was 6.54% for the average lender. You"d have to go back to May 14th"s reading of 6.52% to see anything lower. The latest improvement follows another moderate drop in oil prices and bond yields as global markets digest the U.S./Iran peace deal. There"s still some risk that the deal doesn"t happen as is currently exp...Read More | ||
| Stronger Overnight as Europe Trades Peace | ||
| 6/16/2026 10:55 AM | ||
| European markets definitely got in on the peace deal action yesterday, but they didn"t trade it nearly as aggressively as US markets. Why bring this up? There was a fairly obvious shift toward lower oil prices and bond yields overnight, and the most obvious suspect was simply the opening bell for European markets. While obvious, it wasn"t too...Read More | ||
| AI Products; Fair Lending, Deportations, and Service Animals; AI Governance; Pennymac"s AI Path | ||
| 6/16/2026 9:55 AM | ||
| Sure, we have a Fed meeting, but the Fed doesn’t set mortgage rates. Will they all head off on vacation after this week? Perhaps. Given the increase in the “out of office” replies I am seeing, and children in airports, summer vacation is in full swing. (Apparently families will change their spending habits to accommodate the run up in fuel costs; m...Read More | ||
| Gradual Selling Leaves Bonds Only Slightly Stronger. | ||
| 6/15/2026 3:15 PM | ||
| Gradual Selling Leaves Bonds Only Slightly Stronger. With both sides signing the peace memo, the market was immediately willing to react in the overnight session, but that reaction fell short of what we might expect for an official peace deal. This is a bond market problem more than an Iran war problem. ...Read More | ||
| Mortgage Rates Hit One-Month Lows | ||
| 6/15/2026 2:51 PM | ||
| The bad news: mortgage rates didn"t fall quite as much as one might have expected following the confirmation of the Iran peace deal. The good news: rates had already begun pricing in the peace deal last Thursday and it only took a modest improvement for the average lender to match the lowest level in exactly one month. For context, today"s M...Read More | ||
| Verification, MGIC Survey, Rocket Contest, Credit Reporting Tools; Agency Program Changes | ||
| 6/15/2026 10:26 AM | ||
| This morning, I head to Honolulu for the MBA Hawai’i annual conference. The “Pineapple State” is known for banks and credit unions dominating residential lending. Robber Willie Sutton is famously quoted as saying, "I rob banks because that"s where the money is." Large, unexpected moves in money make the headlines, and Saturday’s Commentary highligh...Read More | ||
| Near Best Levels in a Month as Peace Deal Materializes | ||
| 6/15/2026 9:07 AM | ||
| Although at least one article (from BBC) suggested a peace deal had been signed on Friday, the real word appears to be that a signing is scheduled for Friday. That fact, along with comments on a "done deal" from both sides, helped bonds rally sharply in overnight trading. 10yr yields dropped roughly 6bps and have corrected gradually since then. Yie...Read More | ||
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