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| Mortgage Rates Rise Modestly From 3 Week Lows | ||
| 8/10/2026 2:32 PM | ||
| As of last Friday, average top-tier mortgage rates hit their lowest levels since July 20th. If they"d managed to drop even 0.01% today, it would have been a new 3-week low. As it stands, rates moved modestly higher in response to higher oil prices. Throughout the Iran war, oil and rates have had a broadly strong correlation because oil infor...Read More | ||
| Land Loan, Agentic AI Tools; Deep Dive Into Earnings; Pennymac"s Spector on Servicing Value | ||
| 8/10/2026 10:42 AM | ||
| Here in the hallways at the Western Secondary in L.A., there isn’t a lot of talk about GSE reform, although this short clip from Sam Valverde, ex-acting president of Ginnie Mae, revisits the subject: The GSE reform trigger nobody"s watching closely enough. More of the talk is about 2nd quarter earnings, and I received this note: “Rob, I am a broker...Read More | ||
| Another Week, Another Oil Price Pivot | ||
| 8/10/2026 9:32 AM | ||
| Recent experience suggests the safest assumption about oil prices and bond yields is that they will pop and drop with reasonable regularity. In other words, lower prices/yields for a few days following friendly war-related headlines tend to give way to unfriendly headlines and a market reversal. Wash, rinse, repeat. The new week is starting off wit...Read More | ||
| Not Quite The Rally You"d Expect, But a Rally Nonetheless | ||
| 8/7/2026 4:21 PM | ||
| Not Quite The Rally You"d Expect, But a Rally Nonetheless Today"s vitals might be a bit confusing at first glance. Payrolls came in at -23k versus forecasts of 80k. At most moments in history, that would be worth a substantial rally. Today it was only worth 3bps in the 10yr and a quarter point in MBS. To be...Read More | ||
| Mortgage Rates End Week at Lows | ||
| 8/7/2026 3:58 PM | ||
| Mortgage rates dropped moderately today after the latest jobs report showed much lower jobs created than expected. The monthly jobs report is one of the most--if not THE most--important pieces of economic data to the rate market on any given month. If the numbers are close to forecasts, there isn"t always a big reaction. Today"s numbers were quite...Read More | ||
| Another Modest Drop in Mortgage Apps, But Next Week Should Bounce | ||
| 8/7/2026 2:22 PM | ||
| Mortgage application activity declined for a second consecutive week as higher borrowing costs continued to weigh on both purchase and refinance demand. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported a 2.9% decrease in total application volume on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week ending July 31. Purchase applications decreased 4% from ...Read More | ||
| Cap Mkts Education, Mortgage Ops Support, QC, Flood Cert Tools; Weak Jobs Data | ||
| 8/7/2026 10:52 AM | ||
| As many of us prepare to head to So Cal for the California MBA’s Western Secondary (800 or so registered), artificial intelligence continues to be the buzz. I recently received this question: “Rob, does it seem to you that we’re now at the same inflection point with AI as when everyone was afraid that DU & LP were going to replace all the under...Read More | ||
| Much Stronger Start After Negative NFP Print, But... | ||
| 8/7/2026 8:05 AM | ||
| Nonfarm payrolls (NFP) FELL 23k versus an 80k forecast. Last month was revised down as well. From a traditional market-watching perspective, this is pure rally fuel. Indeed, bonds are rallying sharply so far. Let"s hope it sticks. Why wouldn"t it? As labor force dynamics have shifted, it doesn"t take much job growth (or perhaps any?) to keep ...Read More | ||
| Almost Like Clockwork | ||
| 8/6/2026 2:05 PM | ||
| Almost Like Clockwork Almost like clockwork, after several days spent mostly rallying on a headline-driven drop in oil prices, bonds reversed course as the tone of the headlines changed and oil prices bounced. That said, oil didn"t bounce too much today. The rest of the drama for bonds came courtesy of a bi...Read More | ||
| Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher Ahead of Jobs Report | ||
| 8/6/2026 1:08 PM | ||
| Mortgage rates rose modestly on Thursday, with multiple lenders making mid-day adjustments in response to bond market volatility. Bonds remain highly attuned to war-related developments and the impact on oil prices which, in turn, have a bearing on inflation implications. Higher inflation begets higher interest rates, all else equal. In addi...Read More | ||
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